Europe HVAC Market Size

Europe HVAC Market Analysis

The Europe HVAC Market size is estimated at USD 28.94 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 38.89 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 6.09% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning is a mechanical system that provides thermal comfort and indoor air quality while also controlling internal temperatures and regulating internal humidity. Central air conditioners, heat pumps, chillers, and packaged systems are the most common types of systems.

• Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are becoming increasingly popular throughout the EU region owing to their numerous benefits, notably power-saving techniques. The increase in demand for smart systems, as well as the integration of the Internet of Things (IoT), industrial automation systems, smart manufacturing, and Industry 4.0, is driving the growth of the European HVAC equipment market.
• Furthermore, continued urbanization and population growth are essential in increasing the popularity of indoor and outdoor temperature control systems in various parts of Europe. For example, the EU Commission estimates that by January 2022, the EU's population will be 446.8 million people, 172 000 fewer than the previous year, with urban areas housing 85% of the population.
• The replacement of existing equipment with better-performing equipment and supportive government regulations, such as energy-saving incentives through tax credit programs, are driving the United Kingdom HVAC equipment market over the forecast period. For example, the UK government has already set a target of installing 600,000 heat pumps per year by 2028 to reduce the country's reliance on fossil fuels and aid in the fight against global warming.
• Moreover, one of the major factors driving the market in the region is several government initiatives to promote low-carbon heat sources. For example, the UK Department of Business, Energy, and Industrial Strategy awarded a EUR 54 million contract for heat network funding in July 2022, which will support the development of the scheme in London and working that use low-carbon heat sources like heat pumps and energy from waste to warm properties.
• The impact of IoT and smart HVAC systems is another critical technology expected to drive the market in the future. HVAC systems can exchange data with other connected devices thanks to the Internet of Things (IoT) in HVAC technologies. Integrating smart HVAC systems into homes and commercial buildings detects when maintenance is required automatically, preventing customer annoyances that could cause problems.
• Vendors are also focusing on several strategic investments, such as acquisitions, product launches, and expansions, that will drive the market in the future. Carrier, for example, introduced the AquaForce Vision 30KAV with PUREtec refrigerant in March 2022, an R1234ze chiller designed for industrial processes such as pharmaceuticals, food manufacturing, chemicals, plastics, metal industries, and other applications that require ultra-reliable cooling up to -12 degrees Celsius. This demonstrates the demand for chillers in Europe's industrial sectors.
• New EC recommendations to strengthen the F-gas regulation may result in strict reductions in HFC refrigerants and bans on common AC refrigerants in April 2022, negatively impacting the European air conditioning and refrigeration industry. Starting on January 1, 2027, the European Commission wants to ban the use of HFCs with GWPs of 150 or higher in new split system air conditioners and heat pumps with rated capacities up to and including 12kW. Furthermore, beginning January 1, 2027, the recommendations intend to prohibit the use of HFCs in new split systems with power greater than 12kW.
• Because of the high initial cost of HVAC equipment, some customers may be discouraged from purchasing or upgrading their systems. This is especially true for homeowners and small business owners who may have limited budgets and need help to afford the initial costs of a new system.
• The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the HVAC industry, as demand for systems dropped significantly during the first few months due to lockdown restrictions and businesses refraining from investing in new equipment. Many construction projects were halted around the world as a result of the pandemic. Construction activity declines in the commercial, residential, and industrial sectors temporarily dampened demand for HVAC systems.