Global HIV/AIDS Diagnostics Market Size

HIV/AIDS Diagnostics Market Analysis

The Global HIV/AIDS Diagnostics Market size is estimated at USD 4.55 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 7.44 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 10.35% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

COVID-19 caused a dramatic decline in HIV testing and, as a consequence, a much lower number of new HIV diagnoses. In May 2022, an article published titled "COVID Caused Drop-in HIV Testing, Diagnoses" stated that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) 2020 HIV surveillance report showed COVID disruptions. The COVID-19 pandemic in the United States led to disruptions in HIV testing services and access to clinical services throughout 2020. This disruption resulted in a steep, single-year decline in HIV diagnoses that is mostly attributed to declines in testing caused by less frequent visits to health centers, reduced outreach services, and shifting of public health staff to COVID-19 response activities. Similarly, in December 2021, a report published by the Government of Canada, titled "HIV in Canada: 2020 Surveillance highlights" stated that the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a decreased demand for, and ability to provide, services related to sexually transmitted and bloodborne infections, including HIV testing. This may have had an impact on observed new diagnosis rates for HIV in 2020. Hence, the COVID-19 pandemic has a negative impact on market growth. However, in the future, the market is likely to grow.

Factors such as the increasing prevalence of HIV along with new initiatives and product launches are the primary reasons for the growth of the market. According to the World Health Organization (WHO) update in November 2021, HIV continues to be a major global public health issue, having claimed 36.3 million lives so far. There were an estimated 37.7 million (30.2-45.1 million) people living with HIV at the end of 2020, over two-thirds of whom (25.4 million) are in the WHO African Region. In 2020, 680,000 (480,000-1.0 million) people died from HIV-related causes and 1.5 million (1.0-2.0 million) people acquired HIV.

The increasing initiatives by public organizations such as United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS. (UNAIDS) provides awareness and investments to the market. To reach the new proposed global 95-95-95 targets set by UNAIDS, to avoid the worst-case scenario of 7.7 million HIV-related deaths over the next 10 years, increasing HIV infections due to HIV service disruptions during COVID-19, and the slowing public health response to HIV. Such initiatives increase awareness which increases the demand for more diagnostic tests which increases the growth of the market.

Furthermore, the new research and developments, technological innovations, and the launch of technologically advanced products by key players are expected to boost the growth of the market. For instance, in April 2021, Altona Diagnostics launched an in-vitro diagnostic test based on real-time RT-PCR technology that detects and quantifies the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) specific RNA in human plasma. The test was named as AltoStar HIV RT-PCR Kit 1.5. Therefore, due to the above-stated factors, the studied market is anticipated to witness notable growth during the study period.

However, the lack of mandates for nucleic acid tests in developing countries is likely to hinder market growth.